Brewers vs Mets, Dodgers vs Braves, Twins vs Athletics Over
Three legs quoted as 4 units, 5.29 at risk. Milwaukee Brewers moneyline -148 at 1.5 units to win is 42 percent of the card on its own.
2026 SEASON ANALYSIS
Daily sharp-money cards through the regular season. Pitcher matchups, park factors, and the price on the board.
Thirty Two Percent Of The Card On One Lineup
Five legs quoted as 7 units, 9.27 at risk. The Angels team total under 3.5 at -148 is 31.9 percent of the card on its own.
Two And A Half Units On The Quietest Game On The Board
Seven legs and 11.5 units, and the biggest stake is not the Cubs. It is 2.5 units on the under in San Diego. The prices, the break even math and what the sizing ladder says.
Two Units On A Number That Can Push
Two of tonight's 5.5 units sit on a Houston alternate run line of -1 at -180, where a one run win pushes. The prices, the break even math and the case against.
Two Units On A Number That Can Push
Four Runs In Two Nights, And The Price Never Moved
New York is laying almost nothing to win a game against the worst run prevention club in the AL East. One unit on the Yankees moneyline at -107, and the case against it.
Four Runs In Two Nights, And The Price Never...
Six Units On Two Games That Have No Starting Pitcher
Nine plays and 15 units on a fifteen-game board. Two of those games have no announced starter, and the card has six units inside them.
Six Units On Two Games That Have No Starting...
Two Moneylines, One Walk Rate Doing All The Work
Two plays and 4.5 units: Kansas City -175 with Michael Wacha against a 12.0 percent walk rate, and Boston -132 in a staff game at Fenway against Mitch Bratt.
Two Moneylines, One Walk Rate Doing All The Work
Three Plays, One Signal From The Model
Three tickets Sunday, one model signal. Rangers moneyline, Astros/Mariners under, Dodgers team total, each bought on more than a team name.
Three Plays, One Signal From The Model
Eleven And A Half Units On Arms And Ballparks
Six favorites, 11.5 units, a unit-weighted break-even of 58.4 percent. Every ticket is priced off a starting pitcher or a ballpark, not a team name.
Eleven And A Half Units On Arms And Ballparks
Two Units On Silence, A Half Unit On Noise
A two-play card built on opposite bets: the Angels held under 3.5 behind Jacob deGrom, and a Phillies-Twins over at the Field of Dreams in Iowa driven by Aaron Nola's home run rate.
Two Units On Silence, A Half Unit On Noise
Sixty Percent, Eight Times Over
Eight plays, twelve units, no plus prices anywhere. The unit-weighted break-even lands on exactly sixty percent. Here is what each price actually buys.
Sixty Percent, Eight Times Over
Three Games, Not One Cheap Price
Three plays, three games, an average break-even above sixty percent. What each price on today's card is actually paying for, including one arm's disastrous last outing.
Three Games, Not One Cheap Price
The Price Of Laying Six Units On Two Games
Six of thirteen units sit on two tickets priced at -230 and -198, prices that demand 69.7 and 66.4 percent just to break even. Here is what that money actually buys.
The Price Of Laying Six Units On Two Games
The Two Plays Where The Pitcher Is Not The Story
Six plays, 9.5 units. Two of them are decided by the arm on the mound. Two of them are priced on the roster behind him instead, and the pitching line actually argues the other way.
The Two Plays Where The Pitcher Is Not The Story
An Alternate Line Priced For A 14-4 Arm
The Nationals team total under moves to 3.5 tonight behind Cristopher Sanchez's 2.61 ERA. Four plays, 5.5 units, led by an alternate line built for one pitcher.
An Alternate Line Priced For A 14-4 Arm
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