Opening Day Trends

Opening Day 2026: All 11 Games Quick Trends

March 26, 2026  |  4 min read  |  Best MLB Handicapper

Paul Skenes Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher Opening Day 2026
Paul Skenes takes the mound for the Pirates on Opening Day

Every game on the Opening Day board with the pitching matchups, betting lines, and key trends. No fluff, just the data you need.

Pirates at Mets (1:15 PM ET)
Paul Skenes (1.97 ERA, 2.36 FIP, NL Cy Young 2025) vs Freddy Peralta (2.70 ERA). Mets ML -118, Total 7.0. Skenes went 10-10 despite a sub-2.00 ERA with 216 K in 187.2 IP. Mets finished 2025 with the highest team payroll in baseball.

White Sox at Brewers (2:10 PM ET)
Shane Smith (3.81 ERA) vs Jacob Misiorowski (4.36 ERA). Brewers ML -186, Total 8.0. White Sox lost 100+ games in 2025 for the second straight season. Brewers won the NL Central in 2025.

Nationals at Cubs (2:20 PM ET)
Cade Cavalli (4.25 ERA) vs Matthew Boyd (3.21 ERA). Cubs ML -232, Total 7.5. Cubs added Alex Bregman (5yr/$175M) to a lineup with strong depth. Nationals finished last in the NL East in 2025.

Twins at Orioles (3:05 PM ET)
Joe Ryan (3.42 ERA) vs Trevor Rogers (1.81 ERA in 109.2 IP after trade to BAL). Orioles ML -143, Total 8.0. Rogers had a breakout second half with Baltimore in 2025. Orioles added Pete Alonso (5yr/$155M).

Red Sox at Reds (4:10 PM ET)
Garrett Crochet (2.59 ERA, 255 K in 205.1 IP, led MLB in K) vs Andrew Abbott (2.87 ERA, All-Star). Red Sox ML -158, Total 8.0. Crochet was 18-5 with a 2.89 FIP in his first full season with Boston.

Angels at Astros (4:10 PM ET)
Jose Soriano (4.26 ERA) vs Hunter Brown (2.43 ERA). Astros ML -186, Total 8.0. Astros are heavy home favorites behind Brown's breakout 2025 season. Angels finished under .500 in 2025.

Tigers at Padres (4:10 PM ET)
Tarik Skubal (2.21 ERA, 2.45 FIP, 241 K, back-to-back AL Cy Young) vs Nick Pivetta (2.87 ERA, 3.49 FIP). Tigers ML -136, Total 7.0. Petco Park runs factor sits at 94 (below league average). Skubal's 0.89 WHIP was best among AL starters.

Rangers at Phillies (4:15 PM ET)
Nathan Eovaldi (1.73 ERA) vs Cristopher Sanchez (2.50 ERA). Phillies ML -156, Total 8.0. Eovaldi posted a career-best 1.73 ERA in 2025. Sanchez emerged as a legit frontline starter for Philadelphia.

Rays at Cardinals (4:15 PM ET)
Drew Rasmussen (2.76 ERA) vs Matthew Liberatore (4.21 ERA). Rays ML -122, Total 7.5. Rasmussen returned healthy and strong in 2025 after missing time. Cardinals were sellers at the 2025 deadline.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks (8:30 PM ET, NBC/Peacock)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.49 ERA, 2025 World Series MVP) vs Zac Gallen (4.83 ERA). Dodgers ML -259, Total 9.0. Dodgers won back-to-back World Series in 2024-25 and added Kyle Tucker (4yr/$240M). Heaviest favorite on the board.

Guardians at Mariners (10:10 PM ET)
Tanner Bibee (4.24 ERA) vs Logan Gilbert (3.44 ERA). Mariners ML -193, Total 6.5. Lowest total on the board at T-Mobile Park where runs factor was bottom-3 in MLB. Gilbert had a 2.89 ERA at home in 2025.

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